A transparent model built only from public data checked on October 18, 2026. On our base assumptions, a one-truck plumbing or HVAC shop loses about $13,500 to $14,000/year in first-visit revenue from calls nobody picks up, and a ten-truck shop loses about $135,000 to $139,000. Every input is listed below, so you can change any of them.
Short answer: monthly calls × missed rate × share that are real job leads × booking rate × share who don't leave a voicemail × average ticket. With 100 calls/month per truck, a 28% missed rate, the 2026 Invoca home-services lead and booking rates and HomeAdvisor's average repair tickets, that comes to roughly $1,130/month per truck for plumbing and $1,160 for HVAC.
The two sources measure different things. Invoca counts every call that doesn't reach a person, including very short calls, while CallRail reports an average across its customers. We use 28% as our base because it is the lower number, and 35% (the share of calls over 15 seconds that Invoca finds unanswered) as a higher scenario.
The study is about web leads, not phone calls, and it is from 2011, so we don't put it into the model. It is the reason we treat a voicemail returned hours later as only partly recovered in real life, even though the model counts it as fully recovered.
These are repair tickets. Installs, replacements and maintenance plans are worth far more, and so is a customer who comes back for years, so the model understates what a lost caller costs a shop that does that work.
| Input | Value | Where it comes from |
|---|---|---|
| Monthly inbound calls | 100 per truck | Our assumption, about five calls per working day per truck. We found no current public benchmark for calls per truck. Use your own phone bill or call log. |
| Missed rate | 28% base, 35% higher | CallRail (28%, June 2026); Invoca (35% of calls over 15 seconds unanswered, July 2026) |
| Lead share | 38% | Invoca home services, July 2026. We assume missed calls contain the same share of leads as answered calls. |
| Booking rate | 45% | Invoca home services, July 2026 |
| No-voicemail share | 69% | Moneypenny, 2016. We assume every caller who leaves a voicemail is called back and books at the normal rate, which is generous. |
| Average ticket | $341 plumbing, $350 HVAC | HomeAdvisor cost guides, updated June 19, 2026 |
Each truck is assumed to bring in 100 calls/month. "Lost jobs" is first visits only, at the base 28% missed rate. The last column repeats the year at the higher 35% rate.
| Shop | Calls / month | Missed / month | Lost jobs / month | Avg ticket | Lost / month | Lost / year | Lost / year at 35% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plumbing, 1 truck | 100 | 28 | 3.3 | $341 | $1,127 | $13,519 | $16,899 |
| Plumbing, 3 trucks | 300 | 84 | 9.9 | $341 | $3,380 | $40,556 | $50,696 |
| Plumbing, 10 trucks | 1,000 | 280 | 33.0 | $341 | $11,266 | $135,188 | $168,985 |
| HVAC, 1 truck | 100 | 28 | 3.3 | $350 | $1,156 | $13,876 | $17,345 |
| HVAC, 3 trucks | 300 | 84 | 9.9 | $350 | $3,469 | $41,627 | $52,034 |
| HVAC, 10 trucks | 1,000 | 280 | 33.0 | $350 | $11,563 | $138,756 | $173,445 |
Worked example, one-truck plumbing shop: 100 × 0.28 × 0.38 × 0.45 × 0.69 = 3.3 lost jobs/month. 3.3 × $341 = about $1,127/month, or about $13,519/year.
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Mindich, M. (2026, October 18). What missed calls cost plumbing and HVAC businesses (2026). Unmanually. https://unmanually.com/research/missed-calls-cost-2026/
You are welcome to reuse the tables and the formula with a link to this page. Please keep the assumptions with the numbers.
Home service businesses answer only about half their calls (Invoca, July 2026), and owners spend about 11 to 16 hours/week on admin. Knowing what to do is the easy part; the money leaks out in the calls you can't take, the quotes nobody chases and the invoices that sit unpaid. Unmanually is a 24/7 AI Office Manager for your business that you run by voice from your phone:
Sources: Invoca, July 2026 (52% of home-service calls answered by a person, 60M+ calls); admin hours: Time etc / Censuswide 2023 and Amex SME Barometer 2026.
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